One of the golden rules in football betting is always oppose sides across Europe that have played in the Champions League and Europa League in midweek the following weekend, but how much does European football really effect a side’s domestic form?
With mega money for the top clubs across the continent and with them all boasting world class squads, surely two games in a week can’t effect this mega millionaire footballs?
The answer is it does as the travelling and the clubs focus on where their priorities lie, especially when the finishing line approaches in a close title race, inevitably takes its toll.
There have been examples of this for years and years where teams with big squads have fallen by the wayside domestically, but the form of Leicester this season, who don’t boast one the super squads, has shown just how much a good Champions League run can effect a side if they haven’t bought well enough in the pre-season.
The Foxes have thrown all their eggs into the Champions League basket, which could be one of the biggest gambling fails in football history after producing their best performances in Europe and with the squad not really adding to the Premier League winning team of last season the lack of investment is a major key to this success the following year.
Leicester produced the ultimate football fairy tale and despite them reaching the knock-out stage in the Champions League they’ve slipped to 17th in the Premier League table and with them now just 2.50 to be relegated in the and the timing of their Premier League betting last 16 clash with Sevilla couldn’t come at a worse time for Claudio Ranieri’s side, with clashes with Liverpool and Arsenal sandwiched between the Champions League clashes.
With Manchester City, Arsenal, Manchester United and Tottenham all still remaining in Europe as well this is a huge opportunity for Liverpool and runaway leaders Chelsea to capitalise in the race for a top four finish and with huge European clashes fast approaching again. Despite their huge squads this plays into the hands for the two sides not in European football action with them totally focused on the Premier League.
IS IT JUST A RULE IN THE PREMIER LEAGUE?
It’s not just a rule in the Premier League there are examples of this across Europe with this season’s “Leicester” Red Bull Leipzig taken full advantage over Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich’s Champions League participation in the Bundesliga.
Lipezig are second to leaders Bayern Munich and with their main title rivals facing Arsenal and Benfica sandwiched between some crucial Bundesliga matches this gives the underdogs a huge chance of mounting a title assault.
It’s also a case in La Liga with Atletico Madrid seven points adrift from city rivals Real in fourth place in the table and with a title challenge probably beyond them they may decide to give up domestically and go all out for the Champions League and with a winnable last 16 tie with Bayer Leverkusen they’ve got a much better chance of winning old “big ears” rather than the La Liga title.
Nigel Seeley is a sports betting journalist for The Sun online and was formely at the Racing Post and TalkSport radio.